What's the odds?

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What's the odds?

by kyhillbilly on Wed May 22, 2019 07:39 AM

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I have a brother 49 yrs old was in great physical shape recently became ill, doc thought it was gaul stones. Scheduled surgery, during surgery ran into a mass by the bottom of drainage tube close to liver and pancreas. Removed a piece did biopsy and was positive for cancer.

Went back for surgery Dr said he needed to remove it, after surgery told my bother and family as far as he was concerned he was now cancer free but would need preventative chemo and or radiation as a preventative only.

Brother visits chemo Dr discusses treatment they decide to do a cat scan and it shows another tumor on his liver and while in surgery they removed 12 lymphnodes and it was in 8 of the 12 so the Dr then says sorry, there's nothing i can do it's terminal and no cure.

The surgery originally done was the whipple surgery and at that time the surgeon said he didn't know what stage the cancer was but was certain he'd removed it all.

Now my brother is awaiting the chemo and radiation treatments and the Dr said he might have 5yrs to live if lucky.

Any advice or reccomendations would be appreciated.

RE: What's the odds?

by ToddlerFather on Thu May 23, 2019 02:40 AM

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I'm pretty sure the forecast they gave him is wrong. The reason for that is all odds and survival rates are based on long-running research cycles, and most of those were based only on conventionak chemoterapy (citotoxins) and radiotherapy. 

What is available now include targeted therapies, sometimes also called chemoterapy and immunotherapy, and some initial forms of precision medicine based on specific mutations and characteristics of one's tumors. 

But there is no medical studies that ran long enough to incorporate the effects of those developments into survival rates... so he might live longer than 5 years. Or not last another year... but whatever he goes through, isn't something that can use the survival rate models that are currently available. 

Some may find comfort in not knowing and having a chance; some might prefer predictability. But regardless of preference, the fact it is unknown in the current medical technology stage. 

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